Premiership Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Team Wellington vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HAW
1 - 2
TEA
39%
24%
37%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
WAI
0 - 5
TEA
30%
25%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
WAN
1 - 4
TEA
21%
24%
56%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TEA
3 - 3
CAN
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
TEA
6 - 1
HAW
46%
23%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HAW
1 - 2
TEA
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
HAW
1 - 4
AUC
34%
25%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 2
HAW
47%
24%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
HAW
2 - 1
WAI
35%
24%
41%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
HAW
1 - 0
WAN
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |