Team Wellington vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 6
TEA
19%
21%
60%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
3 - 1
TEA
60%
20%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TEA
1 - 1
CAN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 3
TEA
29%
24%
47%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TEA
1 - 1
AUC
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HAW
3 - 2
WAI
66%
20%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AUC
3 - 2
HAW
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 4
HAW
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HAW
4 - 2
OTA
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
HAW
1 - 3
AUC
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |