Team Wellington vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
TEA
3 - 0
WEL
85%
10%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
HAW
3 - 6
TEA
26%
23%
51%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 0
TEA
17%
22%
61%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TAS
2 - 2
TEA
19%
23%
59%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TEA
1 - 2
WAI
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
EAS
5 - 1
HAW
73%
18%
10%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 2
EAS
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
EAS
5 - 1
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
WEL
0 - 4
EAS
19%
23%
58%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 6
EAS
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |