Team Wellington vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
WAI
3 - 0
TEA
60%
20%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
WAI
4 - 1
TEA
55%
21%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AUC
1 - 3
TEA
58%
21%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TEA
1 - 0
AUC
42%
25%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TEA
3 - 1
HAW
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AUC
5 - 2
CAN
64%
20%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 5
WAI
43%
25%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
WAI
0 - 1
CAN
64%
20%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
AUC
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
WAI
1 - 2
CAN
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |