Team Wellington vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 3
TEA
29%
24%
47%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TEA
1 - 1
AUC
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
OTA
1 - 2
TEA
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
HAW
2 - 6
TEA
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TEA
2 - 0
MAN
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
7 - 0
HAW
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
WAI
0 - 3
CAN
39%
26%
34%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
9 - 1
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AUC
3 - 0
CAN
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 1
WAI
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |