Team Wellington vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
TEA
0 - 0
AUC
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
57%
22%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
WAI
2 - 1
TEA
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
TEA
3 - 2
WAI
38%
25%
38%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TEA
2 - 1
CAN
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
WAI
3 - 1
CAN
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AUC
0 - 3
CAN
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 2
AUC
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 3
AUC
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TEA
2 - 1
CAN
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |