Team Wellington vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
2 - 4
TEA
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
AUC
1 - 3
TEA
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
TEA
2 - 5
HAW
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
TEA
3 - 2
MAN
54%
23%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 4
HAW
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 2
WAI
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
3 - 1
CAN
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 2
OTA
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
4 - 0
CAN
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |