OFC Champions Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Team Wellington vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
TEA
11 - 0
LAE
85%
10%
5%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 0
TEA
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TEA
1 - 0
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TEA
3 - 2
HAW
85%
10%
5%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAN
0 - 0
TEA
36%
24%
40%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 0
SOL
81%
13%
7%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 0
TEA
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
AUC
4 - 0
EAS
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
WEL
0 - 2
AUC
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 0
EAS
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |