Premiership Playoff Título Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Team Wellington vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TEA
3 - 1
HAW
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 6
TEA
19%
21%
60%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
3 - 1
TEA
60%
20%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TEA
1 - 1
CAN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 3
TEA
29%
24%
47%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
AUC
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AMI
1 - 0
AUC
10%
16%
74%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OTA
1 - 3
AUC
20%
25%
56%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HEK
1 - 1
AUC
9%
15%
77%
|
69 | 32 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AUC
3 - 2
HAW
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |