Team Wellington vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 4
MAN
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
WAI
5 - 0
TEA
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 1
WAI
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TEA
4 - 1
WAI
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
TEA
3 - 1
CAN
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AUC
2 - 1
MAG
85%
10%
5%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
OTA
0 - 0
AUC
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
WAI
78%
14%
7%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
MAN
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
AUC
2 - 2
KOL
87%
9%
4%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |