Team Helm vs Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
43.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Helm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 1
THJ
52%
19%
29%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
KEI
2 - 2
THJ
26%
18%
56%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
THJ
2 - 1
AJA
46%
20%
34%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 48
THJ
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
TIN
2 - 1
THJ
89%
8%
4%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 4
KUR
6%
13%
80%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
TKA
7 - 2
FCP
91%
7%
2%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 1
LAH
27%
20%
53%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 1
FCP
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 1
WEL
10%
18%
72%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -1 |