TVD Velbert vs Sonsbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
48.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
18º
18º
24
8º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 78 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 65 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 35 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 31 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
95.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TVD Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TDV
2 - 4
NET
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
TEU
4 - 0
TDV
64%
20%
17%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SFN
1 - 2
TDV
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TDV
0 - 9
FCB
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -3 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 2
TDV
41%
21%
38%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sonsbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SWE
3 - 0
SON
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
SON
3 - 0
NET
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SON
2 - 1
1FC
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KLE
0 - 0
SON
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SON
1 - 0
TEU
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +3 |