TVD Velbert vs Hilden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
74.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
18º
18º
33
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 78 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 65 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 35 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 31 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
95.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TVD Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SFB
6 - 1
TDV
76%
15%
10%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
VEL
4 - 0
TDV
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TDV
0 - 2
SON
29%
23%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -3 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TDV
2 - 4
NET
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
TEU
4 - 0
TDV
64%
20%
17%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Hilden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HIL
0 - 0
VFB
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SWE
1 - 2
HIL
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
HIL
1 - 1
1FC
70%
18%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KLE
0 - 1
HIL
13%
19%
68%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
HIL
1 - 0
FCB
56%
21%
22%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |