Toledo EC vs Roma Apucarana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 0
TCW
39%
26%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 0
TCW
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 0
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
COT
1 - 0
TCW
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 5
TCW
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 1
ATP
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 2
OPE
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CIA
2 - 1
ROM
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 1
ARA
35%
25%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
COT
5 - 0
ROM
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |