Toledo EC vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
53.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
TCW
0 - 1
POR
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 4
TCW
25%
23%
51%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
TCW
0 - 4
MIR
17%
26%
58%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FER
5 - 1
TCW
72%
19%
9%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 3
CAS
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
CAS
5 - 0
RIO
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 3
CAS
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CIA
2 - 1
RIO
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 0
RIO
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 1
PST
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |