Toledo EC vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CCR
1 - 0
TCW
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 3
LON
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PST
0 - 2
TCW
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 1
CEU
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
TCW
0 - 1
CIA
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
CEU
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 0
CCR
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
OPE
3 - 2
RIO
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
COT
1 - 1
RIO
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 0
PAR
13%
21%
66%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |