Toledo EC vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 0
TCW
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
TCW
1 - 1
ATP
10%
23%
67%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CEU
2 - 0
TCW
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PRU
0 - 0
TCW
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
TCW
1 - 0
LON
11%
19%
71%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 1
RIO
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
LON
4 - 1
RIO
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 1
PRU
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ATP
7 - 1
RIO
84%
13%
4%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CEU
4 - 0
RIO
20%
21%
59%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -2 |