Toledo EC vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
TCW
71%
19%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
0 - 1
LON
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
1 - 1
JMA
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 1
TCW
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TCW
4 - 0
CIA
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
LON
1 - 0
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 2
ATP
13%
21%
66%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 0
ARA
35%
26%
40%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 3
RIO
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 7
COT
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |