Toledo EC vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
COT
1 - 0
TCW
88%
9%
3%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 5
TCW
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 0
JMA
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 3
TCW
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
2 - 0
ARA
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
JMA
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LON
2 - 1
RIO
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
ARA
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 2
RIO
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
ACP
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |