Toledo EC vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 4
TCW
25%
23%
51%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
TCW
0 - 4
MIR
17%
26%
58%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FER
5 - 1
TCW
72%
19%
9%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 3
CAS
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 0
TCW
66%
21%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
FER
23%
28%
49%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BAN
0 - 3
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NPR
0 - 5
POR
15%
24%
61%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
POR
2 - 2
CAB
30%
25%
44%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 0
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |