Toledo EC vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
66.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
OPE
1 - 1
TCW
74%
18%
9%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 1
COT
6%
14%
81%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
TCW
58%
25%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ATP
3 - 0
TCW
87%
11%
2%
|
44 | 84 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
TCW
0 - 2
NAU
16%
23%
61%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAR
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 0
CEU
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 2
LON
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 2
BAH
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PST
1 - 0
PAR
9%
19%
72%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | -1 |