Toledo EC vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 2
CIA
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 2
TCW
38%
26%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TCW
0 - 2
COT
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LON
1 - 0
TCW
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
TCW
0 - 1
LON
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 1
ROM
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 1
ATP
12%
19%
69%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 2
OPE
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
OPE
3 - 0
MIR
33%
28%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 1
OPE
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |