Toledo EC vs Nacional PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
POR
3 - 0
TCW
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 0
PAR
12%
21%
67%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
OPE
1 - 1
TCW
74%
18%
9%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 1
COT
6%
14%
81%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
TCW
58%
25%
17%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 4
FER
16%
28%
56%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
IND
1 - 3
NPR
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
PST
7 - 1
NPR
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
NPR
2 - 0
PRU
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
NPR
0 - 3
PST
29%
26%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |