Toledo EC vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 3
TCW
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
2 - 0
ARA
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
0 - 0
LON
39%
24%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
TCW
83%
13%
4%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 0
TCW
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
0 - 0
CIA
30%
25%
46%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
JMA
80%
15%
6%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
1 - 2
ROM
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
4 - 1
JMA
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
3 - 1
ACP
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |