Toledo EC vs Foz do Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 1
TCW
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TCW
2 - 1
LON
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PST
1 - 1
TCW
32%
26%
43%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
COT
4 - 0
TCW
78%
16%
5%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TCW
0 - 2
COT
11%
20%
70%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Foz do Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
COT
2 - 1
FOZ
82%
14%
4%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FOZ
0 - 1
CAS
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
FOZ
1 - 1
JMA
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PAR
5 - 0
FOZ
67%
21%
12%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
FOZ
68%
21%
11%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |