Toledo EC vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
52%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
6 - 0
TCW
71%
20%
10%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TCW
2 - 3
NPR
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
POR
3 - 0
TCW
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 0
PAR
12%
21%
67%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
OPE
1 - 1
TCW
74%
18%
9%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
CAS
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
POR
64%
22%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 4
FER
16%
28%
56%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
AMF
1 - 0
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
FER
0 - 2
INT
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |