Toledo EC vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
72.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LON
1 - 0
TCW
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
TCW
0 - 1
LON
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TCW
2 - 1
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 0
TCW
40%
25%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
PRU
0 - 0
TCW
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 0
COT
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
AVA
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 1
COT
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
COT
2 - 0
FLA
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |