Toledo EC vs Cascavel FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 0
TCW
66%
21%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
0 - 2
CAB
27%
24%
50%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAB
1 - 0
TCW
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 1
BAN
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 1
TCW
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 0
NPR
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
POR
2 - 1
CAS
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 0
POR
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
0 - 3
CAS
11%
20%
69%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 1
TCW
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |