Toledo EC vs Cabofriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
49.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAB
1 - 0
TCW
64%
21%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 1
BAN
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 1
TCW
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
2 - 6
FER
20%
28%
52%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
6 - 0
TCW
71%
20%
10%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAB
1 - 0
TCW
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
FER
3 - 1
CAB
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CAB
0 - 0
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 2
CAB
46%
27%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 2
CAB
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |