Toledo EC vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 1
TCW
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
2 - 6
FER
20%
28%
52%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
6 - 0
TCW
71%
20%
10%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TCW
2 - 3
NPR
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
POR
3 - 0
TCW
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 2
BAN
15%
24%
61%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 2
CAB
46%
27%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
POR
0 - 2
BAN
37%
28%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 0
CAS
31%
28%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 1
BAN
69%
21%
10%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |