Paranaense 1 FINAL CAMPEONATO Final
Global 1-1
Toledo EC vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
67.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
TCW
40%
26%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
TCW
2 - 2
LON
13%
21%
66%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
FOZ
0 - 0
TCW
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
TCW
1 - 2
OPE
26%
26%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ATP
8 - 2
TCW
88%
10%
2%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 1
COT
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 0
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ATP
3 - 0
RIO
89%
9%
2%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
ATP
3 - 0
BOC
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LON
4 - 1
ATP
32%
29%
40%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |