Toledo EC vs Arapongas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
0 - 0
ACP
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 2
TCW
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
1 - 1
RIO
54%
23%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
TCW
71%
19%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
0 - 1
LON
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 3
LON
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 2
ARA
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 3
JMA
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
OPE
2 - 3
ARA
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 3
CIA
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |