Tajikistan vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
58.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2004 |
SYR
2 - 1
TJK
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
TJK
0 - 0
BHR
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
KGZ
1 - 2
TJK
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
TJK
2 - 0
BGD
70%
18%
13%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
BGD
0 - 2
TJK
37%
25%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
YEM
2 - 1
SYR
13%
18%
70%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
YEM
1 - 2
SYR
13%
18%
69%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
4 - 1
SYR
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
JOR
2 - 3
SYR
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
7 - 1
SYR
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |