Tajikistan vs Pakistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
IRN
6 - 1
TJK
92%
6%
2%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
TJK
1 - 2
PHL
60%
21%
20%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TJK
0 - 2
PRK
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
IND
0 - 2
TJK
38%
24%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
TJK
1 - 1
PRK
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Pakistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
SGP
4 - 0
PAK
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
BGD
0 - 0
PAK
56%
24%
21%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAK
0 - 0
BGD
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
BGD
3 - 0
PAK
51%
25%
25%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
TWN
0 - 2
PAK
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |