Tajikistan vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
NPL
1 - 2
TJK
11%
20%
69%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
TJK
3 - 4
PHL
50%
24%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
YEM
2 - 1
TJK
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
BHR
1 - 1
TJK
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TJK
1 - 0
AFG
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
NPL
1 - 2
TJK
11%
20%
69%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
NPL
0 - 0
YEM
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
IND
2 - 0
NPL
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
PHL
4 - 1
NPL
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
NPL
1 - 0
MAC
58%
20%
22%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |