Tajikistan vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
72.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
16%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
JPN
8 - 0
TJK
90%
8%
2%
|
58 | 91 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
PRK
1 - 0
TJK
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
TJK
0 - 1
UZB
17%
20%
63%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
TJK
3 - 0
SYR
17%
20%
63%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SYR
0 - 3
TJK
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
JPN
8 - 0
TJK
90%
8%
2%
|
91 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
JPN
1 - 0
VIE
78%
16%
6%
|
91 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
UZB
1 - 1
JPN
20%
25%
55%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
JPN
1 - 0
PRK
75%
18%
7%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
JPN
3 - 0
KOR
46%
27%
28%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |