Tajikistan vs Kyrgyzstan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
TJK
0 - 1
PRK
25%
23%
52%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
PRK
1 - 0
TJK
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
TJK
2 - 0
SYR
17%
21%
62%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
IND
2 - 4
TJK
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
CHN
1 - 0
TJK
80%
15%
5%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Kyrgyzstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
KGZ
2 - 2
PLE
32%
26%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
UAE
3 - 2
KGZ
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
KGZ
3 - 1
PHL
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
KGZ
0 - 1
KOR
10%
19%
71%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
CHN
2 - 1
KGZ
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | -1 |