Tajikistan vs Kyrgyzstan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
TJK
0 - 1
SYR
21%
21%
58%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2004 |
SYR
2 - 1
TJK
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
TJK
0 - 0
BHR
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
KGZ
1 - 2
TJK
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
TJK
2 - 0
BGD
70%
18%
13%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Kyrgyzstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
KGZ
1 - 2
BHR
13%
21%
66%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
BHR
5 - 0
KGZ
81%
14%
6%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
QAT
0 - 0
KGZ
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
KGZ
1 - 1
SYR
14%
18%
68%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
KGZ
1 - 2
TJK
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |