Tajikistan vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
YEM
2 - 1
TJK
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
BHR
1 - 1
TJK
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TJK
1 - 0
AFG
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
TJK
3 - 0
TKM
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
TJK
3 - 3
PLE
37%
26%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
CHN
8 - 1
PHL
80%
15%
5%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
PHL
4 - 1
NPL
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
PHL
0 - 0
MAS
62%
21%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
PHL
0 - 1
THA
15%
18%
67%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
PHL
2 - 2
IDN
45%
23%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |