Tajikistan vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
IND
0 - 2
TJK
38%
24%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
TJK
1 - 1
PRK
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
UZB
3 - 0
TJK
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
TJK
0 - 4
JPN
9%
19%
72%
|
59 | 91 | 32 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
JPN
8 - 0
TJK
90%
8%
2%
|
59 | 91 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
PRK
2 - 0
PHL
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
TJK
1 - 1
PRK
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
PRK
1 - 1
KWT
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
PRK
1 - 0
JPN
13%
23%
64%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
UZB
1 - 0
PRK
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |