Tajikistan vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
48.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
KGZ
1 - 2
TJK
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
TJK
2 - 0
BGD
70%
18%
13%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
BGD
0 - 2
TJK
37%
25%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 1
TJK
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
TJK
0 - 1
THA
7%
13%
80%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
BHR
0 - 2
JOR
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
BHR
0 - 0
JOR
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
BHR
2 - 1
SYR
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
QAT
2 - 0
BHR
54%
26%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
LBN
2 - 1
BHR
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |