WC Qual. Asia Primera Ronda Final
Global 6-1
Tajikistan vs Bangladesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
BGD
1 - 1
TJK
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
KAZ
1 - 1
TJK
68%
19%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
TJK
2 - 3
AZE
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
KAZ
4 - 1
TJK
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
LKA
0 - 4
TJK
27%
25%
49%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
BGD
1 - 1
TJK
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
BGD
0 - 3
KGZ
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BGD
1 - 1
KHM
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2007 |
IND
1 - 0
BGD
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BGD
0 - 2
SYR
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |