WC Qual. Asia Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 4-0
Tajikistan vs Bangladesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
BGD
0 - 2
TJK
37%
25%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 1
TJK
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
TJK
0 - 1
THA
7%
13%
80%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2003 |
UZB
4 - 1
TJK
87%
10%
4%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2003 |
TJK
0 - 0
UZB
7%
14%
79%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
BGD
0 - 2
TJK
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
BGD
2 - 2
HKG
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2003 |
LAO
2 - 1
BGD
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2003 |
BGD
5 - 3
MDV
65%
18%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
BGD
2 - 1
IND
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |