Tajikistan U23 vs Hong Kong U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
59.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 1
HKG
18%
20%
62%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
UZB
2 - 0
TJK
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
TJK
1 - 1
KWT
15%
19%
66%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TJK
0 - 0
JOR
10%
15%
75%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
TOG
1 - 0
TJK
57%
20%
23%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hong Kong U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 1
HKG
18%
20%
62%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
UZB
3 - 0
HKG
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
IDN
3 - 1
HKG
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
HKG
1 - 1
PLE
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
HKG
4 - 0
TWN
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | +1 |