Tajikistan U21 vs Ukraine U21 analysis

Tajikistan U21 Ukraine U21
27 ELO 70
0.6% Tilt 2.8%
29333º General ELO ranking 14630º
13º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
5.9%
Tajikistan U21
13.4%
Draw
80.7%
Ukraine U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
Tajikistan U21
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
80.7%
Win probability
Ukraine U21
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO progression

Tajikistan U21
Ukraine U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tajikistan U21
Tajikistan U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2014
KGZ
Kirguistán U21
2 - 2
Tajikistan U21
TJK
58%
21%
22%
27 33 6 0
24 Jan. 2014
EST
Estonia U21
2 - 2
Tajikistan U21
TJK
64%
20%
16%
27 40 13 0
25 Jan. 2013
TJK
Tajikistan U21
1 - 3
Moldavia U21
MDA
24%
22%
53%
28 44 16 -1
23 Jan. 2013
TJK
Tajikistan U21
2 - 4
Lithuania U21
LTU
23%
24%
53%
30 46 16 -2
21 Jan. 2013
BLR
Belarus U21
5 - 2
Tajikistan U21
TJK
77%
16%
7%
30 61 31 0

Matches

Ukraine U21
Ukraine U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2014
UKR
Ukraine U21
2 - 0
Estonia U21
EST
82%
13%
5%
70 39 31 0
24 Jan. 2014
UKR
Ukraine U21
2 - 0
Kirguistán U21
KGZ
88%
9%
3%
70 33 37 0
18 Nov. 2013
SUI
Switzerland U21
1 - 2
Ukraine U21
UKR
50%
25%
26%
69 71 2 +1
14 Oct. 2013
LVA
Latvia U21
1 - 5
Ukraine U21
UKR
11%
21%
69%
68 43 25 +1
09 Sep. 2013
UKR
Ukraine U21
0 - 2
Croatia U21
CRO
51%
24%
25%
70 67 3 -2