Tajikistan U21 vs Sudáfrica U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TJK
1 - 0
KAZ
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
TJK
1 - 1
IDN
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
KGZ
2 - 4
TJK
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
MDA
2 - 1
TJK
68%
20%
12%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
TJK
1 - 4
UKR
6%
13%
81%
|
27 | 70 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Sudáfrica U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
RSA
89%
9%
2%
|
17 | 75 | 58 | 0 |