Tajikistan U21 vs Moldavia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
53.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
TJK
2 - 4
LTU
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
BLR
5 - 2
TJK
77%
16%
7%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
TJK
1 - 0
LVA
18%
23%
59%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +4 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
EST
0 - 1
TJK
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
TUK
1 - 1
TJK
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Moldavia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
UKR
5 - 0
MDA
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
LTU
2 - 0
MDA
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MDA
0 - 2
UKR
14%
23%
63%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
MDA
2 - 1
TUK
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 11 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
MDA
1 - 1
AZE
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |