Tavriya Simferopol vs FC Mariupol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tavriya Simferopol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
SHA
2 - 0
TAV
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
TAV
2 - 2
LVI
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
DYN
3 - 2
TAV
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
KPT
0 - 1
TAV
35%
30%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TAV
2 - 1
ZOR
66%
21%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
ILL
1 - 0
ZOR
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
FCM
1 - 2
ILL
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ILL
2 - 0
KRY
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CHO
3 - 2
ILL
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 1
MED
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |