Taverne vs St. Gallen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
66.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
6º
12º
12º
10
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
16 | 63 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 59 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 59 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 32% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 68% |
|
Relegation
|
23.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
UZW
0 - 1
TAV
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 3
FRE
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KOS
1 - 1
TAV
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 0
WIN
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 2
TAV
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
ESC
72%
16%
12%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FCW
0 - 0
STG
37%
23%
40%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STG
0 - 2
YFJ
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 1
STG
15%
19%
65%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
TUG
50%
23%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |