Taverne vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
12º
8º
12
11º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 63 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 56 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 55 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 34% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 66% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TAV
3 - 0
FRE
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TUG
5 - 0
TAV
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TAV
2 - 1
HON
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 2
TAV
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 3
STG
14%
19%
66%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MUT
0 - 2
MEN
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCW
1 - 2
MEN
71%
19%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 1
YFJ
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 0
MEN
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TUG
4 - 0
MEN
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |